Over the past few years, politics and the coronavirus provide a long list of examples where things have not turned out the way many people expected.
And the problem isn’t necessarily about whether we turn out to be right or wrong. The problem with jumping to conclusions is that it makes us lazy. It stops us doing the extra things we could have done to check whether we really understand the situation. It stops us taking the extra steps we might have done to create the outcome we want. And it stops us preparing for what might happen instead.
To avoid jumping to conclusions we simply need to do these things:
- check whether we are making any of the eight potential mis-blinks
- consider what other interpretations might also be possible, and which are more likely
- get clearer on the outcome we want and why we want it
- make sure we take the actions needed to achieve our upsides and manage our downsides
We might still end up doing the same things and the outcome might still be the same. But by not jumping to conclusions and instead taking these steps we will get clearer on what we really want, we will increase our inspiration and enthusiasm, and we will give ourselves us a better chance of achieving the outcomes we want.
We will also take another step towards becoming antifragile.
Have you ever jumped to a conclusion that turned out to be wrong? What were the consequences? Is it worth checking whether you are jumping to any conclusions now about a person or project?
Adapted from Inner Leadership: a framework and tools for building inspiration in times of change.
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