If we jump to conclusions in a time of change we are likely to find ourselves facing a problem.
That problem isn’t necessarily about whether things turn out in the way we expected them to: it’s not about whether we turn out to be right or wrong.
The real problem with jumping to conclusions in a time of change is that it makes us lazy. It stops us checking whether we really understand the situation. It stops us preparing for the unexpected. And it stops us taking the extra steps we could have taken to increase our chances of getting the outcome we want.
Avoiding this is surprisingly easy. We simply need to do four things:
- Check whether we are making any of the eight potential mis-blinks
- Consider what other interpretations might also be possible
- Get clearer on what outcome we want and why
- Take appropriate actions to achieve our upsides and manage our downsides
We might still end up doing the same things and the outcome might still be the same. Or we might still be surprised by what happens. But either way: by not jumping to conclusions, by instead getting clearer on what we really want, and by ensuring that we truly have done everything we could, we will increase our inspiration and enthusiasm, and we will give ourselves us the best chance of achieving the outcomes we seek.
All of this takes us another step towards becoming antifragile.
Have you ever jumped to a conclusion that turned out to be wrong? What were the consequences? Is it worth checking now whether you are jumping to any conclusions?
Adapted from Inner Leadership: a framework and tools for building inspiration in times of change.
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